Conf = Patriot
Nickname = PA Bison Coach = Frank FedoGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.6450806 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 203 A Merrimack America East ( 6- 9, 87.1) 10-14 210 A Marist MAAC ( 8- 7, 88.1) 10-17 217 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 3-10, 88.8) 15-13 224 N Harvard Ivy ( 8- 5, 93.0) 12-13 302 H Holy Cross (MA) Patriot ( 2-11, 86.1) 12- 9 309 A Boston University Patriot (10- 7, 93.1) 10-13 312 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (10- 6, 93.1) 5-17 316 H Colgate Patriot ( 8- 7, 93.0) 4-17 323 A Lehigh Patriot (10- 7, 91.9) 8- 9 330 H Lafayette Patriot ( 6- 7, 89.3) 17- 8 406 A Loyola (MD) Patriot ( 7- 8, 92.2) 13-15 412 H Le Moyne D1 Independen ( 3- 8, 86.1) 7- 5 419 H Army West Point Patriot (11- 3, 94.5) 11-19 426 A Navy Patriot ( 9- 7, 91.6) 12-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 203 A Merrimack 10-14 -4 0 -- -4.86 210 A Marist 10-17 -7 0 --- -6.86 217 H Dartmouth 15-13 2 0 1.48 224 N Harvard 12-13 -1 -4 + 3.32 302 H Holy Cross (MA) 12- 9 3 3 -0.23 309 A Boston University 10-13 -3 -5 + 2.09 312 H Richmond 5-17 -12 -3 - -3.26 316 H Colgate 4-17 -13 -3 - -3.38 323 A Lehigh 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.91 330 H Lafayette 17- 8 9 0 +++ 6.99 406 A Loyola (MD) 13-15 -2 -4 + 2.28 412 H Le Moyne 7- 5 2 3 -1.22 419 H Army West Point 11-19 -8 -5 -1.89 426 A Navy 12-13 -1 -3 + 2.62UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A Marist 10-17 -7 0 --- -6.86 203 A Merrimack 10-14 -4 0 -- -4.86 312 H Richmond 5-17 -12 -3 - -3.26 316 H Colgate 4-17 -13 -3 - -3.38OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Lafayette 17- 8 9 0 +++ 6.99 224 N Harvard 12-13 -1 -4 + 3.32 309 A Boston University 10-13 -3 -5 + 2.09 323 A Lehigh 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.91 406 A Loyola (MD) 13-15 -2 -4 + 2.28 426 A Navy 12-13 -1 -3 + 2.62
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 88.65 Power Rank................. 50 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 78.17 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 37 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5328 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 48 RPI Rating............... .4314 RPI Rank................... 59 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 34 Selection sum ........... 172 Selection Rank ............ 59 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -220. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 67 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -215. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 65 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 13.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 4-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3